Alicia Parlapiano Hawaii amended its law in 2010, moving Primary Day to August from September in order to comply with a federal law mandating that members of the military receive ballots at least 45 days before federal elections. I typically dont offer analysis on solid races so I can spend more Ms. Cayetano a businesswoman who co-founded Hawaiis largest laundry services company and whose husband, Ben Cayetano, was governor from 1994 to 2002 campaigned on creating a state-funded pipeline for renters to earn ownership of their homes, and on eliminating state income taxes for people earning less than $50,000. IE 11 is not supported. Republican Kari Lake is asking the Arizona Supreme Court to review her challenge of her loss to Democrat Katie Hobbs in the 2022 governor's race. The choice mirrors an 1845 law that set federal elections on the Tuesday next after the first Monday in November.. Honolulu City Council member Heidi Tsuneyoshi trailed with 9%. According to a new Civil. You deserve to hear our thinking. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. . As any entrepreneur knows, it takes a lot of time and energy to start a new venture, whether it is a business or a campaign. Andrew Fischer Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star. Read more about the methodology. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. Josh Green, Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. California, Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums on the ballot. , Don Bacon, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? Steve Sisolak, a Democrat who was criticized over pandemic-era shutdowns. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. Jason Kao Representative Tom Malinowski, a second-term incumbent, conceded his race for re-election to his Republican opponent, Tom Kean Jr. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. Maggie Astor GOP Rep. Mark Amodei looks safe for reelection after surviving his primary. Tonight: follow live results and our forecast from Georgia as the final Senate seat in the 2022 midterm elections is decided. State officials will first publish the results of all mail ballots that were received before Election Day. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Some 48% of Hawaii Democratic primary voters say they support Green. Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Democratic Primary Winer has supported Hawaii candidates for years, including serving as a general consultant for Kaheles successful, first-term run for Congress in 2020, but he now supports Green as an unpaid campaign volunteer. On the Republican side, 269 primary voters were polled, and the margin of error was plus or minus 6 percentage points. He will face the Republican nominee, Duke Aiona, in November; the winner then will succeed Gov. On the Republican side, Kona business consultant Paul Morgan raised $6,300 and reported $4,092 in cash on hand. . Gov. Green, who is an ER doctor on Hawaii Island, got the most support from Hawaii County. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. As of Aug. 10, about 234,000 ballots had already been returned, according to Hawaiis Office of Elections. It included 800 registered Hawaii voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. , Katie Porter, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 47th Congressional District. Mahalo for supporting Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Of those, 782 were Democratic primary voters, giving the representative poll a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Despite this, Aiona performed 3 points better and received 20,000 more raw votes than Andria Tupola did in 2018. Lazaro Gamio Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their After its voters turned out at the lowest rate of any state about 39 percent in the 2018 general election, lawmakers switched the state to universal mail voting. Only seven people have held Senate seats since Hawaii became a state in 1959. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. Polished campaign ads show one dimension of an individual, but live, unedited television exposes the truth. Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexicos Second Congressional District. Were getting results from five states where voters are deciding whether to legalize marijuana. , Angie Craig, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Minnesotas Second Congressional District. Josh and I have been friends for almost 20 years., Poll participant and progressive Democrat Jennifer Martin, a 50-year-old Makawao tech writer and business consultant, said she prefers Kahele for governor, mostly because Cayetano comes across as too conservative and Josh seems beholden to special interests.. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. Maggie Astor ( NewsNation) Hawaii voters head to the polls Tuesday to cast their ballots in some important races in the 2022 midterm elections. Some 35% of Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders said they support Green compared to 32% who say theyd back Kahele, who is Native Hawaiian. 83 . Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. David Ige. Skip to content. Milner, the political analyst, however, said quitting a political race is not part of Caldwells DNA. Challenging Mr. Schatz in the primary is Steve Tataii, a conflict-resolution consultant who ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House in 1992, 2002 and 2008. Results Votes from: All State City Party Ethnicity Income Education Marital Status 708 total votes Last answered 4 weeks ago Total votes Updated Aug. 16, 2022, 2:48 PM ET. According to the poll, Green also has strong support across Hawaiis largest ethnic groups, including those who identify as Caucasians, Japanese and Filipinos. 500 Ala Moana Blvd. Caldwell indicated that he remains optimistic about his level of support. The polls overall margin for error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, but questions asked of only Democrat or Republican primary voters had larger margins of error. The incumbent, Representative Ed Case, faces only token opposition in the Democratic primary and is expected to defeat whomever Republicans nominate. Our state is at a pivotal point in its history, change is in the wind, and this is an important opportunity to direct our state toward a more resilient future, Caldwell said in a statement. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. Honolulu, HI 96813 James 'Duke' Aiona files papers to run for governor", "Vote Gary Cordery for Governor - Gary Cordery For Governor", "Hawaii veteran joins governor's race on Republican ticket", "Paul Morgan To Officially Announce His Candidacy for Hawai'i Governor", "Wanting to eliminate mandates, UFC fighter BJ Penn eyes run for governor", "City Councilmember Heidi Tsuneyoshi announces run for governor", "Businessman's potential gubernatorial run could shake up general election race", "City Council Member Andria Tupola Will Not Run for Governor Next Year", "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor", "NONPARTISAN CANDIDATES IN PARTISAN CONTESTS", "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings", "Josh Green's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Hawaii - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - City and County of Honolulu - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Kauai - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Maui - November 8, 2022", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Hawaii_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1140004094, Richard Kim, dentist, musician, and candidate for governor in 2018. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? Ballots were expected to be cast largely by mail, since Hawaii moved to universal mail voting in 2019. Tuesday was selected because it gave eligible voters in rural areas, traveling by horse and buggy, enough time to get to a polling location and make it back for market day, which was typically Wednesday, according to an interview Don Ritchie, a former Senate historian, gave NPR in 2012. Lazaro Gamio Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Roughly 1 in 5 of those polled were still unsure who they planned to support. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Undecided votes critical in tight race for lieutenant governor, Hawaii Poll reveals isle voters attitudes toward Ige, Blangiardi, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: December 27 December 31, 2021, Shut down Red Hill fuel facility, most Hawaii voters say. Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. Ms. Tokuda defeated her top rival, Patrick Branco, a first-term state representative, and several others. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. Alicia Parlapiano Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Thats almost a third of all ballots sent out this cycle and more than all mail ballots returned in the entire 2018 primary election. Activate your Digital Account now. Ballots are going to be mailed out in just a few weeks so theres not a lot of time to close this lead if Kai Kahele or Vicky Cayetano is going to do it.. Seth Magaziner, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Rhode Islands Second Congressional District. Green's performance was the highest percentage of the vote ever received by any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history. John Fetterman. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. State officials say that counting all of the votes may take several days. You're reading a premium story. Nov. 9, 2022, Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. Nate Cohn Cayetanos favorability skyrocketed from 13% in January to 38% in July, while the first Hawaii Poll measurement of Kaheles favorability stood at 30% in July. Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. Hawaii Government Employees Association (HGEA), Hawaii State American Federation of Labor & Congress of Industrial Organizations, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 1186, 1260 and 1357, International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 142, University of Hawaii Professional Assembly (UHPA), Daniel H. Cunningham, independent candidate for governor in, Sherry Menor-McNamara, president and CEO of, Sam Puletasi, candidate for lieutenant governor in. . Chris Pappas, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent New Hampshires First Congressional District. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. This was one of 36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. Cayetano reported $655,407 in cash on hand. Reporting by Lalena Fisher and Alyce McFadden; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White; editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, Amy Hughes and Ben Koski. Greens support was most pronounced among Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54% of whom said they supported him. James R. "Duke" Aiona takes the win with 45.7% (37,406) votes, followed by retired MMA fighter BJ Penn with 24.1% (19,667) votes and Gary. Hawaii has supported Democrats in every presidential election in which it has participated, except 1972 and 1984 , when incumbent Republican candidates won 49-state landslides. In a Q. and A. with Honolulu Civil Beat, Mr. Schatz listed the rising cost of living as the most challenging issue facing Hawaii and said we need to make it more affordable for people to build a life here.. Only two Republicans have been elected governor, and Linda Lingle was the only one to be re-elected, in 2006. Hes got a network, hes got fundraising and hes a pro when it comes to campaigning. Nov. 8, 2022, Pennsylvania is home to a close Senate race between Lt. Gov. Josh Green adds to long list", "Endorsements stacking up for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race", "Lt. Gov. His approval rating fell below 50% only once, when Republican poll respondents gave him an approval rating of 47% on his handling of COVID-19. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. This is going to be very challenging, based on what these poll results show.. The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. In the last primary, almost 99 percent of Hawaii voters voted by mail. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaiis next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Honolulu Star-Advertiser Hawaii Poll shows. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. Send us an email. time focusing on competitive contests. Guam and the Virgin Islands two territories that elect nonvoting delegates to Washington have also traditionally held their primary elections on Saturdays. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Josh Green, Hawaiis second-in-command, wins the Democratic primary for governor. Read the full story with our Print & Digital Subscription. If youre Kirk Caldwell, its hard to imagine you dropping out of the race. In addition to the 2012 N.R.A. The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. likelihood, a Democratic will win in 2022. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. NYT Graphics Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. The polls just closed in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. Only 7% said they did not recognize Greens name, compared to 11% for Caldwell and 35% for Cayetano, suggesting she has to remind voters of who she is. For the 317 Democratic responses for their preference for governor and lieutenant governor in the Democratic primary, the margin of error was plus or minus 5.6%. The Hawaii Poll was conducted Jan. 24 to 28 by telephone by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C. It is his to lose, Moore said. Read the full story with our Print & Digital Subscription. Lt. Gov. State of Hawaii. Democrats overwhelmingly approve (83%), as do independents (68%), but Republicans (47%) are not as enthusiastic. Alicia Parlapiano The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. Of course (former Gov.) Governor and Lieutenant Governor. endorsement, pro-Branco ads attacked Ms. Tokuda for opposing a 2015 bill that would have banned pesticide spraying around Hawaii schools. GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. Nate Cohn Ruth Igielnik No election. In the Republican race for governor, former Lt. Gov. What we expect this year Lt. Gov. Read more. Civil Beat Politics and Opinion Editor Chad Blair said if Penn wins the nomination, his criminal record will be questioned. (D) Josh Green. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. Mr. Greens housing plan includes easing regulations to speed up home construction, allowing development on more public land and targeting illegal vacation units. The Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsed her in June, saying in a statement at the time, In Hawaii, Jill has led on affordable housing, education, womens reproductive freedom and gun violence prevention, and shell do the same in Congress.. Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado, a Democrat, was elected to a third term, holding off a strong challenge from a Republican newcomer. , Emilia Sykes, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios 13th Congressional District. But his medical background became an asset when the pandemic began and Mr. Ige named him the states coronavirus liaison. The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. To register to vote in Hawaii, one must be a United States citizen, a resident of the state, and at least 18 years old. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. A lot of nations, especially advanced democracies, let voters go to the polls on weekends, when voting doesnt have to compete with work schedules. On the Republican side, former Lt. Gov. Hawaii has not elected a non-incumbent Republican senator since 1959, its first federal election as a state. Democrats currently control the governorship and full congressional. This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-hawaii-governor.html. , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. Lazaro Gamio All in all, he did really well. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r> RELATED: Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, >> RELATED: Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows. Alicia Parlapiano Hawaiis comparatively low infection rate drew many wealthy remote workers from the mainland, exacerbating the states existing shortage of affordable housing a crisis that, like the pandemic, has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. Nov. 8, 2022, The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. Nov. 14, 2022, Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. All registered Hawaii voters are sent a mail ballot. , Brad Raffensperger, Republican, is re-elected as Georgias secretary of state. 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial Election Poll Results Quiz Elections If the 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial election were held today, which candidate would you vote for? At the same time, the percentage of Democratic voters who do not recognize Greens name fell from 7% in January to 2% in July. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. Source: Election results and race calls from The Associated Press. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Mr. Green, 52, a former state legislator and an emergency room doctor, was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. I would definitely say Josh Green, Briscoe said. Vote counting is already underway, and initial results are likely to be available soon. . If somehow Caldwell could turn that around, especially with rail hanging over him, that would be amazing.. 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