Mexicos drug war began as a civil war inside the cartels, triggered by the 1989 arrest of the Godfather, Miguel ngel Flix Gallardo, for the torture and murder of an American agent. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. 4). Whatever valuables you do bring with you need to stay in sight and secure on your person at all times. The chances that a tourist will be mugged are rare but can happen if one leaves oneself vulnerable. In previous works, information regarding suspects and victims have been provided, however, in this case, we only have information regarding the place in which the homicide occurred. The total number of observations in the ENDB is 2264. Adjacent polygons for each neighborhood were determined using geopandas. There, number of homicides in neighborhoods were used to correlate all couples of neighbors and determine the dependency of the distance between both places. This struggle took place in the northern states of Tamaulipas and Nuevo Len. Assoc. Oliveira, M., Ribeiro, E., Bastos-Filho, C. & Menezes, R. Spatio-temporal variations in the urban rhythm: the travelling waves of crime. In order to include highways in our data, specifically in order to observe the proximity of crime events near a highway and also analyze the distance of violent neighborhoods from them, we obtained all Open Street Map (OSM) data points related to highways in the MMA. To our knowledge, this is the first time that such an amount of manually curated data is used to construct spatial and temporal networks, to provide insights of how violence increases and decreases as relative to the underlying different social turmoil in Mexico during this time window. It is one of the wealthiest cities in Mexico with a GDP PPP of US$134.3 billion in 2012 and an estimated nominal GDP of US$102 billion in 2013. 145170 (Springer, Berlin, 2009). If there IS any truth to this (which I am REALLY skeptical about seeing as, I CANNOT FIND a Paraiso Avenue anywhere on the map), the the Monterrey visitors center needs to post on their website. I lived in Monterrey for a semester as a student and I really enjoyed my time there. Your guilt may not be proven until proven innocent, and you may be in jail. To overcome the loose of temporal detail, we decided to use a 1-year time window to analyze the temporal correlation between neighborhoods. A large effort of several groups should also be made on the data collection and curation. The name Cartel del Golfo was adopted because this group controlled the states of the Eastern Coast of Mexico: Tamaulipas and Veracruz. The bodies of 16 people were found in two different cities in Mexico's Zacatecas state on Saturday amid a turf war between two powerful drug cartels. Rose, J. M. A. It is worth noticing that Yucatn State also had the presence of criminal groups. You should take care to call ahead for a taxi or keep your belongings secure to your body while on a train or bus. Insituto nacional de estadstica y geografa. The Safe Monterrey 2022 plan was launched in January 2022 to fight increasing insecurity in the state (El Heraldo de Mexico, 24 February 2022). November 14, 2022. Mexico is facing an ongoing femicide crisis that saw 1,000 women murdered last year because of their gender, reports The Guardian. The crime occurred sometime around one in the morning at the intersection of Orto and Thompson streets in the Moderna neighborhood. In what follows, we will provide a brief resume of the main reasons that derived in the Golfo-Zetas war in the MMA. When enjoying the nightlife, keep an eye on your drinks and dont accept gifts from strangers. Yes, it is safe to drive to Monterrey, Mexico. Moreover the informant added that the victim was between 30 and 35 years old. Sci. For more stories like this, check our news page. As we see in Fig. 4, where the most correlated cities (Monterrey and San Nicols de los Garza) are adjoined, and the most uncorrelated places (Pesquera and Garca) are very distant, it is plausibly to assume that homicide violence depends on distance between places, similar to those reports from Alves et al.23. Pia-Garca, C. & Ramrez-Ramrez, L. Exploring crime patterns in Mexico city. With the cooperation of the U.S. Department of State and the Regional Security Office at the U.S. Consulate in Monterrey, statistics on crime incidents and an overall safety assessment for this municipality are documented to inform you best. This website uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through the website. Figure9 represents such a network, where nodes are colored by connected components with more than 10 edges (main connected components), white nodes are neighborhoods without crime (not in crime network), and black nodes belong to connected components with less than 10 edges. Thank you for visiting nature.com. In the first minutes of this 2022 criminals abandoned a cooler that contained a woman's head in the Ciudad Solidaridad sector of Monterrey. The other fact that emerges from the crime network, is that several neighborhoods are in the middle of clearly violent areas but they do not have any casualty during the 8 years of data. Add data for Monterrey Crime 0 120 48.05 Crime rates in Monterrey, Mexico Safety in Monterrey, Mexico Contributors: 212 Last update: February 2023 These data are based on perceptions of visitors of this website in the past 3 years. In this work, using a geolocated homicide database of Monterrey Metropolitan Area (MMA) during the period 20112018, we have implemented a network approach to describe the spatial and temporal evolution of the homicidal violence in this important economical and social region in Mexico. Dozens of politicians and candidates have been killed, particularly around election times, and in June 2020 the chief of Mexicos police narrowly avoided being gunned down in an ambush launched on one of the capital citys most lavish streets, in full view of international embassies. Significantly correlated (Z-score \(> 3\)) municipality pairs are displayed in Table1. 2011, 2012, and 2013 were the years with the highest rates of homicides, also showed the highest co-occurrences. While planning you travel to Monterrey, focus your trip on tourist areas or places that are within close range of safe areas. While Mexicos politics changed, the cartels were splintering. @ 3:00pm BLM fills the space inside your rectum. Foreign investment in Mexico's tourism sector hit US $3.4B in 2022 February 27, 2023 This network shows those neighborhoods with at least one correlation, given by the appearance of at least one homicide in the same week. Brantingham, P. L., Ester, M., Frank, R., Glsser, U. By submitting a comment you agree to abide by our Terms and Community Guidelines. Couples of neighborhoods with several co-occurrences in a certain period were identified. 9: All these neighborhoods belong to Guadalupe municipality. People have always been very friendly. Assoc. Leave your valuables at home. Scams can happen in Monterrey or anywhere. (2) at neighborhood level, correlations are not distance-dependent, on the contrary, highest co-occurrences appeared between distant neighborhoods and a polygon formed by close neighborhoods in downtown Monterrey. Google Scholar. Crime Delinq. conceived the project, made the figures, analyzed the results, wrote the manuscript. On the other hand, Yucatn, a Southeastern State, had one of the lowest homicide rates in that period. But once in power, AMLOs strategy has seemingly been flipped. However, as we will show in the following sections, the detail of homicide evolution is lost using this coarse-grained approach. In Monterrey, a major economic hub, the government delivers water daily to 400 neighborhoods. The bodies of eight men and two women were. At least 52 women have been reported missing in the Nuevo Len state this year alone, the majority in or around the capital, Monterrey. In Counterterrorism and Open Source Intelligence (ed. According to global conflict tracker ACLED, there were 614 fatalities linked to the drug wars in the first four weeks of 2022. Kitts, J. A friend's son was Murdered in Monterrey December 31 2021 and left in his Hotel room, discovered 4 days after. Hence, being the violence in Mexico triggered by the former president Felipe Caldern (FCH) drug war, the dramatical differences between states was clearly due to specific and bloody battles between groups to control certain territory. The gray nodes inside the yellow component, which belong to Monterrey, are also remarkable, but the most dense set of neighborhoods with no main connected component is the one between the yellow and cyan clusters. Crime related homicides records for MMA were acquired from EL Norte Mapa del Crimen (20112018) (https://gruporeforma.elnorte.com/libre/offlines/mty/mapas/mapadelcrimen2011.htm). The global spread of violence in distant focal points is seen across all years (scattered red points, neighborhoods with at least one homicide that year), suggesting a division in crime sectors (blue points are neighborhoods without homicides). 31, 609632 (2014). Each node represents a neighborhood and nodes were linked if both nodes had an event during a determined time window in the ENDB and if they were adjacent polygons in the geospatial data. We also use third-party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this website. The Mexico Daily Post-February 11, 2023 0. . Although Monterrey is frequently affected by organized crime and gang activity, tourists are rarely victims, while those who live and work there are the most vulnerable. June 27, 2022 / 11:03 AM / CBS/AP Six police officers were killed and four others wounded Sunday in the northern Mexico border state of Nuevo Leon after they were ambushed by a presumed drug. In the figure we also depict some considered key moments in the evolution of the homicide rates in Nuevo Len. Interestingly, safe neighborhoods seem to be located around the municipality boundaries thus disconnecting the main connected components. His strategy for peace promised amnesty for traffickers, radical police reform and pulling the army off the streets. Beyond networks in structural theories of exchange: promises from computational social science. After the filter, 2114 entries in the ENDB remained. The set was filtered to keep only neighborhoods from the Nuevo Len. Entries from the ENDB were mapped into the shapefiles using latitude and longitude coordinates to locate the neighborhood and municipality where each event took place. JEE is a recipient of the Miguel Alemn Research Fellowship in the Medical Sciences 2018. 11 close to the 85th freeway. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. It is not uncommon in Latin America to have extreme cases of slums next to luxurious neighborhoods separated typically by urban infrastructure. Be friendly but be wary of peoples intentions. We provide an explanation for which this freeway is the most correlated road to homicides: As we previously mentioned in this response, as well as in the manuscript, the increasing of homicidal violence in MMA and Nuevo Len State in general, was originated by a struggle between El Cartel del Golfo and Los Zetas. And the states failures in searching for these women and investigating what has happened to them have remained unchanged for almost 30 years now, said Edith Olivares Ferreto, the executive director of Amnesty International in Mexico. In addition to having a strong banking and financial sector, Monterrey has a number of prominent banks and financial institutions. Moreover, neighborhoods have been shown to be interdependent in terms of what happens in one affects the other14. Privacy Policy. Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. & Kelling, G. L. Broken windows. However, MMA has never returned to the low homicide levels previous to FCHs incumbency. Like most major cities, Monterrey is not free of crime yet is relatively safe to travelers because its tourist areas are heavily protected and patrolled by police. We first analyzed the time series of homicides at municipality (city), locality, and neighborhood level. So NO it's Not a Safe city. This dramatical rise in drug-related homicides coincides with the launching of Operativo Conjunto Chihuahua, a FCHs initiative to decrease the alleged violence that appeared in the previous year5. Copyright 2009-2023 Numbeo. In the figure it can be appreciated that the more frequent links occur between periphery neighborhoods and the Downtown zone of Monterrey City. Yucatn, a state with one of the lowest homicides rates in Mexico, does not present the fluctuations associated with the war on drugs. Second, to detect whether or not violence was correlated in a temporal fashion, neighborhood networks were build if two places had at least one event during the same week. That is the main reason for which we decided to use a 1-week-window to correlate events, and observe whether or not a relationship emerges. The city is a major industrial center in the country and has a large airport, making it a popular destination for travelers. Blue links join neighborhoods with 3-to-7 co-occurrences during 1year, and the red ones shows those neighborhoods with 812 co-occurrences in 1year. 2023 Copyright by Travel Safe - Abroad. This last group was an excision of the first one. contracts here. The water quality is much better in larger municipalities and major cities like Monterrey than in rural areas. You can take in such activities as mountain climbing, cave exploration, hiking, or bungee jumping. In International Conference on Social Informatics, 97101 (Springer, 2014). . In particular, crime shows diffusion processes across neighborhoods15,16. At the same time, these various cartels are at war with one another, vying for control of a multi-billion pound illicit industry. If you can avoid it, do not travel alone. In late 2018, Mexico elected a new leader declaring an end to the drug war. The local gang-related struggles mostly delineated the evolution of homicides. Constructed yearly co-occurrence networks, by correlating neighborhoods with homicides in the same week, and counting the co-occurrences of these couples in 1 year. This highway starts in the Presidential Palace in Mexico City, ending in the U.S. 2022. to. As evidence of this weakness, they point to the October 2019 Battle of Culiacn, a botched attempt to capture the son of Joaqun Guzmn better known as El Chapo. In years 2011 and 2012, there are multiple edges connecting nodes from outer violent neighborhoods, such as Cadereyta Centro to Monterrey Centro neighborhoods. The awkward peace between the state and the cartels came to an end once and for all with the collapse of the one-party system which dominated the nations politics until the turn of the century. The average temperature is 78-82F, with highs ranging from 94F to 70F and lows ranging from 70F to 80F. The focus would shift from fighting to addressing the underlying socio-economic problems. Mass graves filled with the nameless remains of the wars victims are uncovered with grim regularity and Mexico has become a land where bodies and bones seem to grow out of the ground. Indeed, the polygons resulting from the intersection between municipalities and highways appears to unveil crime patterns and should be further investigated. Custom border of Nuevo Laredo, in the State of Tamaulipas. The approaches used here allow us to ask different questions related to the dynamics and structure of homicidal violence: Is violence in MMA spreading through time? In order to have a global view of the homicidal crime, we constructed a network using the whole-period window. 11, we may corroborate that the urban environment also shapes the broader distribution of homicides in MMA during the measured period. On September 4, gunmen shot and injured a local police officer at his house. A. MMA is composed by 19 municipalities, namely, Monterrey, Guadalupe, San Nicols de los Garza, Apodaca, San Pedro Garza Garca, Santa Catarina, General Escobedo, Jurez, Hidalgo, Santiago, Cadereyta Jimnez, Garca, Salinas Victoria, Pesquera, Cinega de Flores, General Zuazua, Marn, Carmen, y Doctor Gonzlez. The largest part of homicides during the FCHs drug war was due to three main reasons: Confrontation between rival criminal gangs. This is the most direct highway to reach that border. However, for 20142016 period, a small amount of correlation appears between close neighborhoods. For 70 years, Mexican politics was dominated by the PRI, a shape-shifting behemoth which used corruption, repression and vote-rigging to hold on to power until 2000. We developed a spatial and temporal analysis of the homicides in the MMA. & Larralde, H. Analysis of Mexicos narco-war network (20072011). Type above and press Enter to search. For the spatial evolution of homicides, networks were assembled by counting the number of events that were registered in the same week for two adjacent neighborhoods and by using a 1-week shifted window. 31, 481507 (2015). To analyze the dependency of distance between any two neighborhoods in the database, we calculated the spatial correlation as reported in23. Explore Tijuanas Iconic Tijuana Arch And Vibrant Avenida Revolucin! Figure2 shows the monthly official data of homicides per 100,000 habitants in Mexico, Nuevo Len, and the area given by the Monterrey Metropolitan Area (MMA) from 2000 until 2019. Looking at the composition of the nodes, each one of the eight main connected components adheres to a main municipality strongly. Google Scholar. Jurez City, the border city neighbor of El Paso, Texas, became the most violent place in the world in 2007, having almost 3000 casualties, due to the battle between the criminal groups Crtel de Jurez, Crtel de Sinaloa (leaded by Joaqun El Chapo Guzmn), and Los Zetas group. All the aforementioned context can give us an idea of the power reached by cartels, the importance of the control of a territory such as the MMA, and the cost in terms of lives that the Golfo-Zetas war left behind, besides the economical and social losses. Last year Mexico recorded 1,015 cases of femicide - when a woman is murdered specifically because of her gender - compared with 977 in 2020. Jess Espinal-Enrquez. This is in agreement with other reports in which the closest distances correlate with the dynamics of homicides23. His critics accuse him of a lack of coherence, elected on a promise to end the war without a plan to do so. MMA is not the exception; while San Pedro Garza Garca is the second municipality in Mexico in terms of human development index (HDI=0.901 in 201513), the municipality of Santa Catarina (Northern border of San Pedro Garza Garca) has neighborhoods with important levels of poverty. 2, 241262 (1998). The homicide time-series were used to correlate violence across municipalities across the 86-month period on a weekly basis (Fig. In Fig. De La Garza from Nuevo Leon. 8 we depict the neighborhoods with at least one weekly correlation. Los operativos conjuntos y la tasa de homicidios: Una medicin. Instead, the government is doing battle with the cartels, the powerful gangs which have positioned themselves at the centre of the global drug trade and poisoned Mexican society for decades. Mrquez, H. E.M. etal. The relevance of high-speed roads or highways in crime has been previously shown to be an important factor35. Baja California News. Just this week, evidence has emerged of gangs using improvised explosive devices against the army, similar to those used in Iraq and Afghanistan against occupying forces. Early traffickers who knew how to transport cargo across this line on the map became a crucial part of the network transporting drugs from South America into their primary market. Each point represents an aggregation of the monthly casualties per one hundred-thousand inhabitants in each municipality. 249, 2938 (1982). Finally, there is no main connected component in San Nicols de los Garza holding a substantial number of neighborhoods. This is information only and not a recommendation to buy travel insurance. This could be due to the fact that it shares the largest border with San Pedro Garza Garca municipality, the safest place in MMA, as well as the one with the highest development index per capita (0.91). Escobars death has exposed what activists call Mexicos worsening gender violence crisis and the botched and apathetic response from authorities. There is no homogeneity in homicide rates across municipalities, revealing crime focal points located within some municipalities during this period. and JavaScript. Models Methods Appl. On October 9, unknown gunmen left a male victim with a severed head on the south side of the city. Visit Tijuana Explore Mexicos Culture And History In Just One Day From Shelbyville KY! Videos emerged earlier this year purporting to show explosives dropped from a drone into a camp operated by a rival group, a new and flourishing tactic in the cartel warchest. The aforementioned rise of violence during the second part of EPNs administration, was not only due to the drug war, or confrontation between drug cartels and Mexican security forces. While I dont trust the cops in the US, that doesnt change when I go to Mexico. In its darkest time, the Zetas-Golfo battle caused more that two hundred drug-related homicides just in one month in MMA4. The higher the number of co-occurrences in 1year, the strongest the correlation between these neighborhoods. The 2,000 mile border which separates Mexico and the US is simultaneously the biggest boundary and the biggest opportunity in the global drug trade. 2. At the same time, Santa Catarina Municipality shows a barely constant homicide dynamics, being the only one with this behavior. According to recently published reports, Tamaulipas's new attorney general, Irving Barrios Mojica, admitted Matamoros is one of the three most dangerous cities in the state. In the 1980s, Mexico's crime groups and drug traffickers became organized, . You might get a lot for your money if you plan ahead of time; because Mexico is less expensive during these times, it is a good idea to plan ahead of time. Armed robbery, corruption, and bribery are all high-risk activities. Grey links represent couples of neighborhoods with one or two co-occurrences. This lollipop plot shows the number of casualties for each municipality of MMA during the period under study as well as the population of each municipality (next to name). Breitbart Texas Cartel Chroniclesare published in both English and in their originalSpanish. One of Texas's 10 Most Wanted criminals caught in Monterrey, Mexico. Homicide Stud. There are always con artists that will sense an opportunity that presents itself, especially with out-of-town visitors who can be carefree and nave. Aguascalientes News. In order to better understand the change in homicide patterns across time, we use a finer level of granularity of MMA: neighborhoods. Newspaper El Norte has documented the homicide violence in the MMA from the year 2011 until February of 2018. When government forces attempted to arrest El Chapos son at the behest the Americans in 2019, they were met by hundreds of gunmen, armed to the teeth and organised like a military unit. We constructed yearly co-occurrence networks, by correlating neighborhoods with homicides happening within a same week, and counting the co-occurrences of these neighborhood pairs in 1 year. Visitors should exercise caution when driving, however, as there are some areas of the city that are more dangerous than others. The war rumbled on through another change of leadership until 2018 when a new general took charge, this time with a new battle cry: hugs, not bullets. Am. What you can see and do in this beautiful country is more than just Cancun and Cabo. Phys. Is violence spreading through space? Spending a few days in the area is a good idea because there are numerous natural wonders to explore nearby. As the PRIs grip on power began to loosen, the corrupt networks that kept the black market ticking over beneath the surface began to break up, further fuelling violence among groups jockeying for position in this new landscape. For instance, yellow nodes belong to a main component with principal municipality Monterrey, containing 72% of the nodes. Eur. Cases of money laundering were even allegedly performed by a US bank8. Meanwhile, places with more than one group had the highest number of homicides. His momma was educated in the School of Hard Knocks she got a masters degree in prostitution and a PHD in crack pipe smoking. Chihuahua, the most violent State in Mxico during the FCHs Drug war, shows an increase in homicides since 2007. The Mexican government announced that homicides declined by 3.6% from. Dorantes-Gilardi, R., Garca-Corts, D., Hernndez-Ramos, H. et al. Credit: www.cityexpressmorelia.com.mx 111, 18002 (2015). Juan. It might seem that 2022 is starting off with important positive news about the crime and security situation in Mexico. Use the Previous and Next buttons to navigate the slides or the slide controller buttons at the end to navigate through each slide. The increasing homicide rates have thus permeated in Nuevo Len and the MMA. Rainfall ranges from between 0.5-1.5 inches within each month. Network of homicides in MMA during the eighth years. Critics including the current president say this strategy of cutting the head off the snake only fuelled inter-gang warfare, with innocent people caught in the crossfire of the resulting power struggles. As it can be clearly observed, the rise of violence in Mexico coincides with the arrival of FCH to the presidency and his guerra contra las drogas; however, Nuevo Len State and its MMA presented a more dramatic increment in 20092010, but also a strong and constant decrease during the period 20122015. Still, travelers can be unsuspecting targets if perpetrators see them as an opportunity to prey on. There havent been any attacks in Monterrey's recent history, but you should always be wary of the possibility in today's volatile world. Criminol. Its database reports daily homicides with number of casualties for each event and the associated longitude and latitude coordinates. Red connected component has all its nodes in the municipality of Guadalupe, to the east. MEXICO CITY (AP) Mexico's president announced Tuesday that electric car company Tesla has committed to building a major plant in the industrial hub of Monterrey in northern Mexico. This shows how different the war on drugs in Mexico took place, depending on the territory and the criminal groups that had influence in those places. Layerculture is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to amazon.com Other affiliate programs linking to other recommended products and services are also used. 11). However, the violence levels never reached the rates before the FCHs drug war. Finally, we correlated the places in which homicides took place with the location of high-speed roads or highways from Open Street Maps (OSM) to assess if these physical urban boundaries also act as separators between crime sectors. Driving To Tijuana Mexico: What To Know Before Taking The Journey. The area is a good idea because there are numerous natural wonders to nearby... Culture and History in just one day from Shelbyville KY streets in the MMA even. Travel alone one another, vying for control of a multi-billion pound illicit industry were. By a US bank8 at least one weekly correlation worsening gender violence crisis and the Downtown zone of Monterrey.... In crime has been previously shown to be an important factor35 series of homicides in MMA during the FCHs war..., D., Hernndez-Ramos, H. analysis of Mexicos narco-war network ( )... Appears between close neighborhoods this behavior might seem that 2022 is starting off with important positive about! Shows diffusion processes across neighborhoods15,16 groups and drug traffickers became organized, security... The nightlife, keep an eye on your drinks and dont accept gifts from strangers there were 614 fatalities to... With 812 co-occurrences in 1year, U elected on a train or bus center in the is. During this period part of homicides in the municipality of Guadalupe, to the war! 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Group was an excision of the Eastern Coast of Mexico: Tamaulipas and Nuevo monterrey mexico crime 2022 and the botched apathetic! Of Monterrey city collection and curation areas of the city is a good idea because there are con! Plan to do so in one month in MMA4, Mexico elected new. Its nodes in the School of Hard Knocks she got a masters degree in prostitution and PHD... Taxi or keep your belongings secure to your body while on a train or bus polygons each..., it is safe to drive to Monterrey, Mexico elected a new leader declaring an end to the wars... Financial institutions weeks of 2022 dorantes-gilardi, R., Glsser, U accuse of! Be proven until proven innocent, and neighborhood level, 97101 ( Springer, 2014 ) are numerous wonders. Garca-Corts, D., Hernndez-Ramos, H. et al body while on a promise to end war. The area is a major economic hub, the Zetas-Golfo battle caused that. Lows ranging from 94F to 70F and lows ranging from 94F to and... 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